Fantasy Football Week 16 Start ‘Em & Sit ‘Em: JK Dobbins, Kirk Cousins, Najee Harris Could Be Runners Up

The biggest story in Week 16 could be the weather, and the games to worry about are Jacksonville at Jets, New Orleans at Cleveland and Buffalo at Chicago. We also have some concerns about Houston in Tennessee, Cincinnati in New England, Seattle in Kansas City, Atlanta in Baltimore and Las Vegas in Pittsburgh.

You always want to check the forecast just before race time to make sure the weather might be an issue. For example, in Week 15 we expected a bad snowstorm in Buffalo for Bills-Dolphins, but snow didn’t become an issue until late in the game.

However, it could be ugly for some of the best Fantasy picks in Week 16, which is the playoff semifinals in most leagues. We didn’t want to deal with it at this time, but here we are.

For Jaguars-Jets, there could be steady rain and wind. I’ll still start Trevor Lawrence, Christian Kirk, and Evan Engram, but demote Zay Jones as you’ll read below. Garrett Wilson remains the No. 2 receiver for the Jets, but he’s the only part of the game I like about New York.

I’m betting almost everyone in the passing game for Saints-Browns. This game could have the worst weather in Week 16 with snow and wind gusts over 40 mph according to some reports. Chris Olave is a No. 3 Fantasy receiver at best, and Juwan Johnson doesn’t feel as reliable right now as a streaming tight end. But Taysom Hill could be a sneaky pick given his role in the ground game. For the Browns, I’ll avoid Deshaun Watson and Amari Cooper, Donovan Peoples-Jones and David Njoku will all be demoted.

For Bills-Bears, wind will be an issue with gusts listed at 35 mph. I’m not worried about Josh Allen and I’m still starting Stefon Diggs and Dawson Knox. But that eases the fade of Gabe Davis, who struggles with good weather. For the Bears, I’m still starting Justin Fields, who should be fine with his production on the ground. However, you can bench Cole Kmet, who has a bad matchup along with the bad weather.

As for Texans-Titans, Bengals-Patriots, Seahawks-Chiefs, Falcons-Ravens and Raiders-Steelers, I haven’t seen anything to change my mind yet on any player since Wednesday afternoon. It will be cold, but the wind and rain should be fine for these games.

Ideally, the weather won’t affect our best players in Week 16. But it’s something else to consider when setting our lineups for this week.

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In Week 13, when the Ravens opened the window for JK Dobbins to return from injured reserve, here’s what I wrote about him in the waiver wire column. Dobbins was out for week 7 after knee surgery and we didn’t know what kind of effect that would have on his return. But I wanted to hide him just in case. He was in 57 percent of CBS Sports leagues during that time.

“When healthy, Dobbins could be Baltimore’s No. 1 running back, though he’ll likely share snaps with Gus Edwards and even Kenyatta Drake. The Ravens have some juicy matchups against Cleveland in Week 15 and Atlanta in Week 16, and Dobbins could be a potential low-end starter or flex option if he’s healthy by then.”

Dobbins shattered my expectations in his Week 14 debut at Pittsburgh with 15 carries for 120 yards and a touchdown. He followed that up with 13 carries for 125 yards and a catch for 3 yards on a target in Cleveland in Week 15.

We’ll see what happens in Week 16 against Atlanta, and hopefully Lamar Jackson (knee) can return for that game after being out the past two weeks. But even if Tyler Huntley starts again, I still like Dobbins as a borderline No. 1 running back in all formats, with his value highest in non-PPR leagues.

The Falcons have allowed eight running backs this season to score at least 18 PPR points and four running backs have rushed for at least 100 yards against Atlanta. There have been nine running backs with at least 15 carries against the Falcons, and eight of them have scored at least 12 PPR points. I expect Dobbins to get at least 15 carries this week, as he should be the best offensive player for Baltimore, even if Jackson plays.

I’m excited to see Dobbins play well right now. For those of you who held onto him all season or picked him up at the right time, he should reward you with a big game in Week 16.

START EM & SIT EM

Quarterback

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Running backs

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Wide receivers

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Tight End

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Buccaneers (at ARI)

The Buccaneers DST has been lackluster this season, but this should be a great week against the Cardinals. Trace McSorley starts for Arizona and struggled in relief of Colt McCoy (concussion) in Week 15 at Denver with two interceptions and just 95 passing yards on 7 of 15 attempts. It’s hard to expect him to rebound with a big performance in Week 16, and I like the Buccaneers DST as a top-five Fantasy pick in this matchup.

  • Chargers (in IND)
  • Lions (in CAR)
  • Broncos (at LAR)

Patriots (vs. CIN)

The Patriots defense did well in Week 15 in Las Vegas with three sacks, an interception and a defensive score, but I expect the Patriots DST to struggle in Week 16 against the Bengals. Joe Burrow has been sacked twice or fewer in six straight games and Cincinnati has scored at least 23 points in five of its last six outings. The Bengals also have just four turnovers in the last six games. The Patriots defense could benefit from playing at home this week, but I don’t think New England will slow down Cincinnati’s offense in this game.

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KICKERS

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