2022 Gasparilla Bowl prediction, odds, lines: Missouri vs. Wake Forest picks, best bets from proven simulation

The college football season continues with an interesting doubleheader on Friday. The 2022 Gasparilla Bowl is the nightcap, with the Wake Forest Demon Deacons taking on the Missouri Tigers. Wake Forest is 7-5 this season, although the Demon Deacons have lost four of their last five games. Missouri is 6-6 after winning its last two bowl games. Missouri will be without defensive linemen Isaiah McGuire and DJ Coleman, as well as safety Martez Manuel due to NFL waivers. Top receiver Dominic Lovett, meanwhile, is on the transfer gate and won’t play in this one.

Kickoff is at 6:30 p.m. ET in Tampa. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Demon Deacons as 2-point favorites, while the over/under, or the total number of points Vegas thinks they will score, is 58.5 on the latest Wake Forest vs. Missouri odds. Before making any Missouri vs. Wake Forest picks, you need to check out the college football predictions and betting tips from SportsLine’s advanced computer model.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a staggering profit of nearly $2,500 for $100 players on college football’s top picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen tremendous returns.

Now, the model has Missouri vs. Wake Forest in its sights and has just locked in its picks and Gasparilla Bowl 2022 predictions. You can head over to SportsLine now to see the model’s picks. Here are several college football odds and trends for Wake Forest vs. Missouri:

  • Wake Forest vs. Missouri spread: Wake Forest -2
  • Wake Forest vs. Missouri over/under: 58.5 points
  • Wake Forest vs. Missouri money line: Wake Forest -125, Missouri +105
  • WF: The Demon Deacons are 7-5 against the spread this season
  • MIZZ: The Tigers are 7-5 against the spread this season
  • Wake Forest vs. Missouri picks: See the picks at SportsLine

Selected game | Missouri Tigers vs. Wake Forest Demon Deacons

Because Wake Forest can cover

Wake Forest is dynamic on offense. The Demon Deacons are 2-0 in their last two games against SEC opponents, and the team’s aggressive approach gives Wake Forest a chance in any situation. Wake Forest led the ACC with 36.8 points per game this season and the Demon Deacons ranked in the top three in total offense (447.8 yards per game) and passing offense (314.6 yards per game).

Wake Forest keeps drives alive with an elite 46.5% lower conversion rate and the Demon Deacons are loaded with skill players. Veteran quarterback Sam Hartman is tied for the all-time ACC record with 107 career touchdown passes, and Wake Forest has All-ACC players in running back Justice Ellison and wide receiver Perry this season.

Because Missouri can cover

Missouri has the superior defense in this matchup by a significant margin. Wake Forest’s defensive frailties aside, the Tigers finished No. 4 in the loaded SEC with just 337.3 total yards per game. Missouri has 36 sacks this season, second most in the SEC, and the Tigers are very good against the run. Missouri is allowing just 127.4 yards per game and 3.7 yards per carry, and the Tigers have allowed 17 points or fewer in five games.

The Tigers are giving up a completion on less than 60 percent of their pass attempts and opponents have just 15 passing touchdowns in 12 games against Missouri. Wake Forest also has some issues on the ground offensively, averaging just 3.4 yards per carry and giving up 36 sacks in just 12 games. With Missouri creating a pass rush, the Tigers could create constant chaos in the Wake Forest backfield.

How to make Missouri vs. Wake Forest picks

SportsLine’s model leans toward the total, projecting 62 combined points. The model also says that one side of the spread hits in almost 60% of the simulations. You can see the model selection only on SportsLine.

So who wins Wake Forest vs. Missouri? And which side of the spread hits in almost 60% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the model who crushed his college football picks and find out.

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